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Technological singularity

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Hypothetical point of runaway technological growth

The technological singularity, or simply the singularity, is a hypothetical point in the future at which technological progress, usually imagined as machine intelligence improving itself, becomes so fast that events beyond it cannot be predicted by people living before it. The word was borrowed from mathematics and physics, where a singularity is a point at which a quantity becomes infinite or undefined. The idea was given its name and its modern form by the mathematician and science-fiction writer Vernor Vinge in the 1980s and 1990s, and it was popularized by the inventor Ray Kurzweil.[1]

Origins

The first recorded use of the word in this sense is secondhand. In his memorial of John von Neumann, published in 1958, the mathematician Stanislaw Ulam recalled a conversation that "centered on the ever accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue."[2] "Essential singularity" is a precise term from complex analysis. It names a point near which a function takes every complex value, with at most one exception, infinitely often; the function e1/z does so near zero, missing only the value zero itself.

The mechanism came from the statistician I. J. Good, who had worked with Alan Turing at Bletchley Park. In 1965 he defined an "ultraintelligent machine" as one that could surpass any human at every intellectual activity, including the design of machines. Such a machine could design a better one, which would design a better one still. "Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make", Good wrote, adding the condition "provided that the machine is docile enough to tell us how to keep it under control."[1]

Vinge joined the two ideas. In an essay in Omni in 1983 he compared the change that would follow the creation of greater-than-human intelligence to "the knotted space-time at the center of a black hole". His paper "The Coming Technological Singularity", given at a symposium held by NASA's Lewis Research Center and the Ohio Aerospace Institute in March 1993, opened: "Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended." Thirty years from the symposium was 2023.

Forecasts and criticism

Kurzweil's The Singularity Is Near (2005) extended the trend lines of computing, which he called the law of accelerating returns, and forecast machines of human-level intelligence by the end of the 2020s and a singularity in the middle of the 2040s. The book treats three overlapping revolutions, in genetics, nanotechnology and robotics, and expects biotechnology to bring the defeat of aging along the way. Its sequel, The Singularity Is Nearer (2024), kept both dates.[1]

The idea has had prominent doubters. The cognitive scientist Steven Pinker wrote in 2008 that "There is not the slightest reason to believe in a coming singularity." The Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen argued in 2011 that progress in understanding the brain slows as the understanding deepens, a "complexity brake" on the curve.[1]

Molecular Reality Corporation

The idea runs through the mythology of Molecular Reality Corporation. The company's felt mascot, Keltar, is described on his profile page as a being who has "traversed the sequence spaces of the multiverse to guide civilizations toward life-saving technological singularities".[3] In the founder's text of 2013, the Book of the Church of Sequence Space, Keltar has already led his own world to a positive singularity, many quadrillions of years ago in another universe. The same text names Kurzweil, agrees with his forecast of practical immortality in about thirty years, and objects only to the wait. It sets "non-conscious collective acceleration, a la Kurzweil" against the "conscious, vast acceleration of biomedical research progress" that its game was meant to organize.[4]

Other company texts use the vocabulary loosely. The 2022 overview calls its imagined network of instruments, the Ultra-Device, "post-singularity Clarketech", after Arthur C. Clarke's remark that sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.[5] A post of 2026 dates the company's first slide deck to "several thousand years ago in AEST (Accelerationist-Equivalent-Subjective-Time), i.e., around 2015", a calendar for people who expect history to speed up.[6]

The company's live sessions for members are announced as the BioSingularity TELETHON. When one is on the air, a ticker runs across the top of its members' software reading "BioSingularity TELETHON live NOW click to join".[4] The sessions began on the company's internet radio station, Radio KENT, and later moved to a video call, which the software's tour describes plainly: "will be our own platform soon, for now it opens a google meet link. nothing fancy."[7]

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c d "Technological singularity". Wikipedia. Retrieved October 25, 2026.
  2. ^ Ulam, Stanislaw (1958). "John von Neumann 1903-1957". Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 64 (3): 1-49. doi:10.1090/S0002-9904-1958-10189-5.
  3. ^ "Keltar: Interdimensional Advisor to the Molecular Streaming Corps". Molecular Reality Corporation. Retrieved October 25, 2026.
  4. ^ a b "Company records". Molecular Reality Corporation. October 2026.
  5. ^ "Scientific and technical overview". Molecular Reality Corporation. December 2022.
  6. ^ Kemmishtree (March 28, 2026). "Welcome to my Minds". EQBio-OS.
  7. ^ "EQBio-OS tour". Molecular Reality Corporation. 2026.
Last edited 1 hour ago by Ionophore